The Beautiful Pool

It's gonna be a long hot summer

Month: June, 2018

Well, this is awkward

And not just because of the sad Germans (1).

Sad Germans

There was a famous episode at the 1988 Grammy award, when Little Richard and Buster Poindexter were presenting the award for best new artist.  Little Richard announced that “the best new artist is…. ME“, and then he pranced around the stage. You can look it up on YouTube.  Obviously, it wasn’t true.

That’s kinda how things are in the Beautiful Pool, except it is true.  Sherman H faded and, thanks to my blind faith in the people from the only country in the world where I’ve had my pockets picked (ARG), somehow, I ended up with the most points at the end of the group stage (2).

I know what you are thinking: that I’ve been doing this for so long that I’ve picked up some match-fixing skills from the evil brains at FIFA; that this is a rigged system designed to extract hard earned cash from the gullible.  Not true.  It’s just dumb luck.

Anyway, just so there is no taint of corruption nor hint of scandal, I’m going to donate my C$97.50 Group Stage winnings to the Hoboken Homeless Shelter.

Here is the leaderboard, after the group stage.

Group Stage Final Results
Rank Name Points
1 Stuart B 40
2 Dave L 39
2 Joe P 39
2 Joep B 39
5 DonWendy V1 37
5 Kevin Z 37
5 Prash N 37
5 Rachel P 37
5 Sean C 37
10 Dario P1 36
10 Dario P2 36
10 Dominik Z 36
10 DonWendy V2 36
10 John C 36
10 Richard H 36
10 Russ P 36

There was also a noticeable change in the global competition:

Canucks Foreigners
Avg Score 33.4 32.5

🍁 Les Canadiens 🍁 have pulled into the lead.

The race for last place is on too!  Remember, the lowest score gets their entry fee refunded. Right now that’s Alvaro V, but Ana G and Cindy B are also in the running.

Click HERE for the complete results

 

Look for another update after the “Round of 16” wraps-up next Tuesday.  But, be warned, HVW and I are driving back to the Great White North on Tuesday, so the posting of results might be a bit delayed.

See you next time.


  1. But I mean, come on, seeing GER lose to KOR was one for the ages, wasn’t it?
  2. Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha!

I’m a morbid fatalist

A man does push-ups while guarding a goal post as he and others play soccer on a street during an anti-government protest in Port-au-Prince

Now that every team has completed two matches, I thought it would be good to let you know how things are shaping up.

Sherman H, step forward and take a bow.  If there are no changes to the standings after the 3rd matches (1), Sherman will be the group stage winner, just like he was 2014.   Sherman, what is your secret?

Here is the leader-board:

Group Stage | Matches 1 + 2
Rank Name Points
1 Sherman H 37
2 Joep B 36
3 Craig B 35
3 Dave&Shanel 35
4 Prash N 34
5 Stuart B 33
6 Dave L 32
6 Dominik Z 32
6 DonWendy V1 32
6 John C 32
6 Ray W 32
6 Sean C 32

Newcomers Joep B, Dave&Shanel and Prash N are making their presence in the Beautiful Pool felt.  Craig B, who came dead last (3) in the 2014 Brazil-edition is off to a much stronger start.

Geographically, it’s dead heat:  Canuck taxpayers have an average score of 29.4, while ROW (2) comes in at 29.1.

Click HERE for a PDF with everyone’s provisional results.

Thought for the day:

 

England’s support can be roughly split into two categories – the blindly optimistic and the morbidly fatalistic.

Scott Murray in The Guardian

See you next time.


  1. Officially 0.00001% probability BTW, because ARG is going to rise up from the ignominy of losing to CRO, and take everyone down.
  2. Rest of World
  3. I had to find a way to mention that!

Rewind

Cameroon Russia Fan

Due to an administrative SNAFU, one entry was left off the original tallies.  So I have fixed it and updated the page with all the entries.  Say hello to the 43rd participant, Tak F, who is joining the Beautiful Pool for the first time.

Click HERE to see all the entries (1)

 

The same list is now available in PDF, if that is what you have been waiting for.

That is all.


1. For real this time

No troll farms involved AFAIK

IMG_2419

I hope you’ve been able to catch some of the games (between work and driving to/from Washington this weekend, I haven’t).

Nevertheless, the first round of match-fixing is over, and the giant brains at FIFA have come up with a stunning script.  According to my calculations, RUS is in first place, followed by BEL and CRO (Croatia!!!).  Ignoring the groups, here is the list of teams that didn’t lose, ranked in the same order for group standings (Points, then Goal Difference, then Goals For).

PT GD GF  Rank
RUS 3 5 5 1
BEL 3 3 3 2
CRO 3 2 2 3
SEN 3 1 2 4
FRA 3 1 2 4
ENG 3 1 2 4
JPN 3 1 2 4
URU 3 1 1 5
IRN 3 1 1 5
DEN 3 1 1 5
SRB 3 1 1 5
SWE 3 1 1 5
MEX 3 1 1 5
POR 1 0 3 6
ESP 1 0 3 6
ISL 1 0 1 7
ARG 1 0 1 7
BRA 1 0 1 7
SUI 1 0 1 7

If you want more analysis, then don’t listen to me;  there is all kinds of rationalizing going on out there on the interwebs.  Even English hopes are still alive.

And so it begins

Doggo needs to go

Now that RUS is setting the games on fire, let’s get the party started.  When all was said and done, you sent me 42 entries.  That’s not bad.  A bit more intimate than the last time I ran one of these, but that’s OK.  It’ll give us a chance to get to know each other.

Most of you picked GER to do a repeat performance, and take home the cup again.  The award for most improved country goes to FRA, which had only 1 pick last time (out of nearly twice as many entries), but is now the third most popular pick.  Here is the distribution of your winning picks:

Winners

This time we have 23 entries from Justin Trudeau fans (a.k.a. Canadian resident taxpayers) and 19 Foreigners (yes, that includes those of us in the USofA, but also the UK, Netherlands and Brazil).

IMPORTANT

Here is a page with all your entries, please check to makes sure that I didn’t mess up.

Click HERE to see all the entries.

That’s all for now.  Good luck and thanks again for participating.


PS: If you are still on the mailing list, but didn’t enter the 2018 Pool, I will remove your subscription so that you don’t get irritated over the next month.  If you want to sign-up again, be my guest.


PPS: There are still a few of you that haven’t coughed up the entry fee yet, exposing me to significant counterparty credit risk.  Time to PAY UP, or I’ll send Michael Cohen after you.  I hear he is good at that sort of thing.

¡Noticia Final!

page6image3830432

Entry deadline is 24 hours away!


At this point, I don’t know what to tell you.  If you want in, now’s the time to make your picks and send them to me.

Since I have a weak spot for los Albicelestes, who placed 2nd in the 2014 World Cup and then again in the 2015 and 2016 Copa Americas, it’s tempting to believe that this is their moment.  Watch this Argentine beer commercial and don’t be afraid to believe.

https://youtu.be/2UG6uM2L63M

Marcus® says.

Entry deadline is 48 hours away.


For what I believe is the 4th straight World Cup, Goldman Sachs is calling for Brazil to take home the trophy.   Now I have to be careful what I say because we might have one (or more) Goldman Sachs participants in the pool.  So, I’m not going to make any allusions to vampire squids, or God’s work, or anything like that.

Here is their report…

GoldmanSachs- World Cup and Economics 2018 (dragged)

Hope springs eternal

The essential absurdity of football is nine- tenths of the poetry

Phil Ball  – Morbo: The Story of Spanish Football

There are just 72 hours left (give or take) to get your picks in for the Beautiful Pool – ру̏скӣ edition.  Like the bloke who decorated his house in the picture below obviously believes, at this point anything is possible.

Anything is possible - 3 Lions edition

Anything is possible – 3 Lions edition

To those who have already signed-up.  Thanks and good luck.

Kickbacks, bribery and general venal behaviour

While we are all laser-focussed on making smart picks for the 2018 World Cup, don’t forget that on 13 June, FIFA will select the site for the 2026 tournament, it’s down to Morocco and a joint USA/Canada/Mexico bid.   Morocco has the inside track because, well FIFA makes the decision, and it pays to remember that…

Nothing triggers kickbacks, bribery, and general venal behaviour like an ill-equipped nation trying to build a dozen new enormous white elephant stadia.

Roger Bennett (Men in Blazers)

Also, FiveThirtyEight.com is starting their World Cup – ру̏скӣ coverage here….

https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/2018-world-cup/

If you are having trouble deciding who’s going to advance, this will add to your confusion.

You’re welcome.

Read the rest of this entry »

Look good. Feel good. Play good

You could, and some have, decide to pick the World Cup winners using a more unorthodox system.  Say, by which team has the best jerseys (or kit).

This beautifully shot video introducing the Icelandic kit is a good place to start.

https://youtu.be/BmxL0qBNsfc

Or you could browse through this encyclopaedic listing:

https://www.fourfourtwo.com/features/ranked-every-2018-world-cup-kit-show-russia-summer

Or here:

https://www.starsandstripesfc.com/world-cup-2018/2018/5/30/17408000/world-cup-2018-jersey-rankings-nigeria-brazil-korea-germany-australia

Sa Ma Sin Wa Lo (1) Super Eagles.

Whatever works for you.

Time’s running out.


1. Roughly translated as ‘Lead us into battle

Mon Dieu!

Its1998alloveragain

It’s 1998 all over again.  France will win the World Cup 2018 – according to Fidante Partners (whoever they are).

Here is their report.

Games begin in 10 days.  Time to work on your entry.

 

What we need is more team analytics

Just a heads up that the Guardian newspaper is publishing a series of reports on each team, in collaboration with each country’s local media. So far they have done Spain, Morocco, Portugal, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Uruguay and Russia.

I think they are very good, FWIW.

I have 3 entries so far

13 days to go.

— Read on www.theguardian.com/football/series/world-cup-2018-guardian-experts-network